Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.440967 0.483300 0.528606 0.580817 0.639468 0.703482 0.778856
2026-01-25 0.374330 0.433721 0.501772 0.586019 0.688209 0.809026 0.963984
2026-02-01 0.326899 0.392732 0.471632 0.574135 0.705211 0.869167 1.092886
2026-02-08 0.299110 0.369989 0.458094 0.577204 0.736422 0.945406 1.246402
2026-02-15 0.274426 0.347698 0.441570 0.572782 0.754916 1.004131 1.380542
2026-02-22 0.256746 0.332317 0.431788 0.575090 0.780997 1.073845 1.536469
2026-03-01 0.238603 0.314510 0.416764 0.567983 0.791940 1.121562 1.663755
2026-03-08 0.222443 0.297997 0.401905 0.559238 0.798757 1.162581 1.784040
2026-03-15 0.205581 0.279226 0.382314 0.541603 0.789965 1.177796 1.862813
2026-03-22 0.198864 0.274331 0.382103 0.552529 0.825666 1.266116 2.075354
2026-03-29 0.192117 0.268846 0.380472 0.560851 0.857525 1.350798 2.292242
2026-04-05 0.184739 0.261900 0.376062 0.564227 0.881208 1.423514 2.496451
2026-04-12 0.177303 0.254542 0.370708 0.565930 0.902664 1.495410 2.711527
2026-04-19 0.171197 0.248855 0.367567 0.570970 0.930274 1.581330 2.968009
2026-04-26 0.161969 0.237776 0.355169 0.559457 0.927317 1.609761 3.108751
2026-05-03 0.156543 0.232358 0.351478 0.562430 0.950655 1.690556 3.374732
2026-05-10 0.150068 0.224903 0.343986 0.558146 0.959967 1.744473 3.588757
2026-05-17 0.145334 0.219993 0.340374 0.560382 0.981650 1.825432 3.878961
2026-05-24 0.139236 0.212540 0.332059 0.553496 0.984920 1.868270 4.083855
2026-05-31 0.133268 0.205017 0.323219 0.545023 0.984250 1.902470 4.272697
2026-06-07 0.126192 0.195338 0.310195 0.527932 0.964792 1.893574 4.348084
2026-06-14 0.124203 0.194136 0.311814 0.538521 1.002939 2.017258 4.801601
2026-06-21 0.121895 0.192266 0.312131 0.546585 1.036454 2.134320 5.261165